Showing 1 - 10 of 2,082
Inflation has been below the Federal Reserve's target for much of the past 20 years, creating worries that inflation … forecasters, household and business surveys, and the market for Treasury inflation protected securities (TIPS) to estimate long …-run inflation expectations. These have fallen notably in the past few years (to roughly 1.9 percent for CPI inflation, well below …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392558
This paper incorporates market-based inflation expectations to the growing literature on trend inflation estimation … using different measures of long-term inflation expectations in the estimation, both market-based and surveys. That evidence …, and finds that there has been a significant decline in euro area trend inflation since 2013. This finding is robust to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011878411
Credit spreads rise after a monetary policy tightening, yet spread reactions are heterogeneous across firms. Exploiting information from a panel of corporate bonds matched with balance sheet data for U.S. non-financial firms, we document that firms with high leverage experience a more pronounced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012485947
countries that had earlier adopted more comprehensive indexation in response to high inflation have taken steps to reduce the …A number of industrialized countries have recently offered inflation-indexed bonds. Some members of another group of … scope of indexation in their economies. This paper surveys debt management, monetary policy, and welfare arguments on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403310
Upward sloping yield curves are hard to reconcile with the positive association between income and inflation (the … Phillips curve) in consumption-based asset pricing models. Using US and UK data, this paper shows inflation is negatively … the importance of monetary policy, predicting that a permanently low growth and low inflation environment would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932527
-term liquidity effects, where monetary costs act as transaction costs and the quantity theory of money is verified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395261
growth, inflation, and monetary policy, and an inflation surprise could require monetary policy to tighten faster than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866493
Investors seek to hedge against interest rate risk by taking long or short positions on bonds of different maturities. We study changes in risk taking behavior in a low interest rate environment by estimating a market stochastic discount factor that is non-linear and therefore consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251301
Over the past year, euro area sovereign spreads have exhibited an unprecedented degree of volatility. This paper explores how much of these large movements reflected shifts in (i) global risk aversion (ii) country-specific risks, directly from worsening fundamentals, or indirectly from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402913
The paper shows how-in a Merton-type model with bankruptcy-the currency composition of debt changes the risk profile of a company raising a given amount of financing, and thus affects the cost of debt. Foreign currency borrowing is cheaper when the exchange rate is positively correlated with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403081