Showing 1 - 10 of 998
carries risks. International experience suggests that China's credit growth is on a dangerous trajectory, with increasing … risks of a disruptive adjustment and/or a marked growth slowdown. Several China-specific factors-high savings, current …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799612
Senegal's fiscal deficit and public debt have been on the rise in recent years owing partly to an ailing and inefficient oil-based energy sector. In this paper we use a two-sector, open-economy, dynamic general equilibrium model to investigate the effects of varying fiscal policy instruments one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411199
Some resource-rich developing countries are in the process of harnessing immense mining resources towards inclusive growth and prosperity. Nevertheless, tapping into natural resources could be challenging given the large front-loaded investment, volatile capital flows and exposure to global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014412121
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010359872
We use a dynamic small open economy model to explore the macroeconomic impact of alternative public investment scaling-up scenarios, analyzing how improving the efficiency of capital spending and of tax revenue collection affect growth and debt sustainability for three fast-growing Southeast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011716457
This paper analyzes the link between public investment, economic growth and debt sustainability in Sierra Leone using an inter-temporal macroeconomic model. In the model, public capital improves the productive capacity of private capital, generating positive medium and long term effects to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014275798
We identify structural breaks in economic growth in 140 countries and use these to define ""growth spells:"" periods of high growth preceded by an upbreak and ending either with a downbreak or with the end of the sample. Growth spells tend to be shorter in African and Latin American countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401753
Recent discussions of the extent of decoupling between greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and real gross domestic product (GDP) provide mixed evidence and have generated much debate. We show that to get a clear picture of decoupling it is important to distinguish cycles from trends: there is an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799677
This paper assesses the sustainability of China''s export-oriented growth over the medium to longer term. It shows that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404301
Climate change is a major threat to the sustainability and inclusiveness of our societies, and to the planet's habitability. A just transition to a low-carbon economy is the only viable way forward. This paper reviews the climate change challenge. It stresses the criticality of systems changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612346