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Central banker faces a tradeoff between surprise inflation and building reputation, defined as the private sector's belief … future grounds with temptation leads the way for a negative drift of reputation in equilibrium. Plans that successfully … the zero reputation limit, a gradual disinflation is preferred despite the absence of inflation inertia in the private …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251953
The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395951
The “traditional structural approach” to the determination of real commodity prices has relied exclusively on demand factors as the fundamentals that explain the behavior of commodity prices. This framework, however, has been unable to explain the marked and sustained weakness in commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396109
Primary commodities still account for the bulk of exports in many developing countries. However, real commodity prices have been declining almost continuously since the early 1980s and there is evidence of renewed weakness. The appropriate policy response to a terms of trade shock depends...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396445
How does a commodity market adjust to a temporary scarcity shock which causes a shift in the slope of the futures price curve? We find long-run relationships between spot and futures prices, inventories and interest rates, which means that such shocks lead to an adjustment back towards a stable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397573
This paper examines the relations between fluctuations in real exchange rates among the major currencies and fluctuations in real commodity prices. Increased exchange rate volatility calls for a better understanding of these relations. To the best of our knowledge, no systematic study of those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398636
-search theory: under standard calibrations models without OTJ search generate implausibly low unemployment volatility, while models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704664
How can governments reduce the prevalence of cross-border tax fraud? This paper argues that the use of digital … technologies offers an opportunity to reduce fraud and increase government revenue. Using data on intra-EU and world trade … transactions, we present evidence that (i) cross-border trade tax fraud is non-trivial and prevalent in many countries; (ii) such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392581
Like any tax, the VAT is vulnerable to evasion and fraud. But its credit and refund mechanism does offer unique …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403017
document that the different path chosen by Colombia was due to the authorities' belief that maintaining a good reputation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796746