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Rodriguez and Rodrik (2000) argue that the relation between openness and growth is still an open question. One of the main problems in the assessment of the effect is the endogeneity of the relation. In order to address this issue, this paper applies the identification through heteroskedasticity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401435
There is strong evidence that interest rates and bond yield movements exhibit both stochastic volatility and … associated bond yields by estimating the volatility and jump risk premia in highly volatile markets. Using the simulated method … of moments (SMM), results suggest that all variants of models which do not take into account stochastic volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400896
This paper provides an analytical overview of the most widely used capital flow datasets. The paper is written as a guide for academics who embark on empirical research projects and for policymakers who need timely information on capital flow developments to inform their decisions. We address...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301943
Previous early-warning systems (EWSs) for currency crises have relied on models that require a priori dating of crises. This paper proposes an alternative EWS, based on a Markov-switching model, which identifies and characterizes crisis periods endogenously; this also allows the model to utilize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404016
fluctuations in real commodity prices. Increased exchange rate volatility calls for a better understanding of these relations. To … multi-country model, with world market clearing, which incorporates speculative and non-speculative demands for inventories … matters, and that supply and demand elasticities are important in determining the commodity price in world markets above and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398636
This paper examines the mechanisms through which output volatility is related to trade openness using an industry … appreciable impact on aggregate volatility. Added together they imply that the relationship between trade openness and overall … volatility is positive and economically significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401281
This paper examines the performance of World Economic Outlook (WEO) growth forecasts for 2004-17. Short-term real GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796831
reduced bond yields but have somewhat increased yield volatility in the post-Lehman period. Econometric analyses conducted …, foreign holdings are greatly associated with increased yield volatility. A case study using Poland data elaborates on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394303
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010389595
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425646