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time-varying risk. Some work by Abel provided us with the insights needed to produce such formulas. This paper gives a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396175
How did expectations of the outcome of the United Kingdom's (UK) referendum on European Union (EU) membership in 2016 affect prices in financial markets? We study this using high frequency data from betting and financial markets. We find that a one percentage point increase in the probability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517941
We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has … risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK … index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796347
Stock markets play a key role in corporate financing in Asia. However, despite their increasing importance in terms of size and cross-border investment activity, the region’s markets are reputed to be more “idiosyncratic” and less reliant on economic and corporate fundamentals in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411156
This paper analyses the effect of asset prices on credit growth in France and tries to disentangle credit demand and supply factors, both for the whole 1993-2010 period and during periods of financial instability. Using bank-level panel data at a quarterly frequency, stock price growth is shown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396650
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615321
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010359852
An asset bubble relaxes collateral constraints and increases borrowing by credit-constrained agents. At the same time, as the bubble deflates when constraints start binding, it amplifies downturns. We show analytically and quantitatively that the macroprudential policy should optimally respond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103635
focuses on the market assessment of credit risk captured by daily movements in bond spreads for twelve countries. A dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399584
risk potential. We find a positive trend in stock return correlations net of diversification effects for a sample of U ….S. Large and Complex Banking Organizations over 1988-99. This finding suggests that the systemic risk potential in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399710