Showing 1 - 10 of 927
The negative and stable relationship between an economy's aggregate demand conditions and overall unemployment is well …-documented. We show that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across worker and … economy groups. First, unemployment is more than twice as sensitive to aggregate demand in advanced as in emerging market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796190
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010389581
commodity boom period led to important gains in employment and a fall in the unemployment rate as labor demand outpaced an …-examination of Okun's law shows that informality dampens changes in unemployment accompanying output fluctuations. Moreover, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009580
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009706759
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488605
This paper provides an assessment of the consistency of unemployment and output forecasts. We show that, consistent … with Okun’s Law, forecasts of real GDP growth and the change in unemployment are negatively correlated. The Okun … coefficient—the responsiveness of unemployment to growth—from forecasts is fairly similar to that in the data for various …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394299
This paper asks how well Okun’s Law fits short-run unemployment movements in the United States since 1948 and in twenty … the unemployment rate—varies substantially across countries. This variation is partly explained by idiosyncratic features …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395488
unemployment and debt. The paper illustrates in a downside scenario, how low potential growth and crisis legacies leave the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436794
estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014394381
Korea's economy has leaped to high-income status thanks to several decades of sustained high growth. However, population aging and shifts in global demand provide headwinds for future growth and Korea now faces the effects of COVID-19 on economic activity. This paper asseses the expected drag on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604751