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We study equity price volatility in general equilibrium with news shocks about future productivity and monetary policy … asset price volatility. We show that introducing news shocks in a canonical dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model may … not reduce asset price volatility under plausible parameter assumptions. This is because, in general equilibrium, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399366
Anchoring of inflation expectations is of paramount importance for central banks' ability to deliver stable inflation and minimize price dispersion. Relying on daily interest rates and inflation forecasts from major financial institutions in the United States, we calculate monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392613
This paper provides a new argument for “shock” versus “gradualism” in the implementation of trade policies. In the … an import tariff either immediately as an unanticipated shock, or gradually over a preannounced length of time. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400753
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425646
studies warn that increasing the precision of public information may raise the volatility of some aggregate variables - in … imperfect common knowledge due to a more precise common signal always compensates the potential rise in aggregate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402814
portfolio theory without recourse to market imperfections. It also demonstrates that “Value-at-Risk” portfolio management rules … optimal to sell many higher-risk assets when a shock to one asset occurs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400415
This paper introduces the quantile regression- based Distance-to-Default to Probability of Default (DD-PD) mapping, which links individual firms' DD to their real world PD. Since changes in the DD depend on a handful of parameters, the mapping easily accommodates shocks arising from quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613371
The literature on leverage until now shows how an increase in volatility reduces leverage. However, in order to explain … pro-cyclical leverage it assumes that bad news increases volatility. This paper suggests a reason why bad news is more … often than not associated with higher future volatility. We show that, in a model with endogenous leverage and heterogeneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395754
The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395952
negative shock to economic activity in the late 1980s caused agents to discount market fundamentals. For Turkey and Pakistan it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397956