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We analyze the medium-term macroeconomic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and associated lock-down measures on low-income countries. We focus on the impact over the medium-run of the degradation of health and human capital caused by the pandemic and its aftermath, exploring the trade-offs between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170278
Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP … levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as 'hysteresis,' argues for unifying the analysis of growth and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251398
economies albeit using diverse strategies. This paper introduces a novel daily database of sectoral reopening measures in Europe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392075
We use high-frequency indicators to analyze the economic impact of COVID-19 in Europe and the United States during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299321
, countries across Europe are differently equipped to respond to the shock due to differences in economic conditions and fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302037
A universal testing and isolation policy is the most viable way to vanquish a pandemic. Its implementation requires: (i) an epidemiological rather than clinical approach to testing, sacrificing accuracy for scalability, convenience and speed; and (ii) state intervention to ramp up production,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012252486
We measure the impact of frequent exogeneous shocks on small ECCU economies, including changes to global economic activity, tourism flows, oil prices, passport sales, FDI, and natural disasters. Using Canonical-Correlation Analysis (CCA) and dynamic panel regression analysis we find significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012796822
growth could be lower for longer, with a setback to development. Post-pandemic reforms thus become even more important …, especially with constrained scope for fiscal and monetary stimuli. Reforms could boost per capita growth by an additional 0 ….3-1.3 percentage points, relative to the 1.9 percent average since 2010. Such growth would reduce per capita income doubling time from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518323
finds that introducing LMRs and PMRs simultaneously would add about 2.5 percentage points (pp) of GDP growth and reduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012122485
adverse growth trajectories prior to unrest events or by fiscal consolidations, and are robust to instrumenting via regional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613425