Showing 1 - 10 of 1,902
Statistical measures of the volatility of exchange rates, interest rates, and stock prices are estimated for a number … of countries. Periods of high volatility are identified and compared with periods of financial difficulty. The results … indicate that GARCH models of volatility could be potentially useful in assessing financial soundness. Daily data are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399985
This paper interprets contagion effects as an increase in the volatility of aggregate shocks impinging on the domestic … capital needs) borrow at a premium from domestic banks. Higher volatility of producers’ productivity shocks increases both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401716
Volatility in financial markets has forced economists to reexamine the validity of the efficient markets hypothesis … studies have found evidence of excessive volatility. In the aftermath of the stock market crash of 1987 and the perceived … increase in market volatility, some economists have advocated additional market regulations. Are these proposed regulations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395913
The literature on leverage until now shows how an increase in volatility reduces leverage. However, in order to explain … pro-cyclical leverage it assumes that bad news increases volatility. This paper suggests a reason why bad news is more … often than not associated with higher future volatility. We show that, in a model with endogenous leverage and heterogeneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395754
The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395952
The issue of informational efficiency in the evolution of asset prices is examined using data on equity markets in Jordan, Turkey and Pakistan over the period 1986–93. The analysis is carried out in two steps. The parameters of agents’ dynamic consumption and investment decisions are first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397956
Using data for the major currencies from 1973 to 1994, we apply recent tests of asset price volatility to re …. Consistent with previous evidence from regression-based tests, most of the models that we examine are rejected by our volatility … “volatility”, however, may disguise the cause of rejection as excessive exchange rate volatility. This a Working Paper and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398025
This paper examines the evidence for the common assertion that the volatility of emerging stock markets has increased … volatility in recent years; indeed, it appears that volatility may have tended to fall rather than rise on average. The paper … should lead to a reduction in return volatility as risk is spread among a larger number of investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398639
We study equity price volatility in general equilibrium with news shocks about future productivity and monetary policy … asset price volatility. We show that introducing news shocks in a canonical dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model may … not reduce asset price volatility under plausible parameter assumptions. This is because, in general equilibrium, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399366
Using a new daily index of social unrest, we provide systematic evidence on the negative impact of social unrest on stock market performance. An average social unrest episode in an typical country causes a 1.4 percentage point drop in cumulative abnormal returns over a two-week event window....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518928