Showing 1 - 10 of 2,046
This paper proposes a hidden state Markov model (HMM) that incorporates workers' unobserved labor market attachment into the analysis of labor market dynamics. Unlike previous literature, which typically assumes that a worker's observed labor force status follows a first-order Markov process,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155058
changes in aggregate demand, when inflation is rising and unemployment falling unexpectedly, also come with persistent long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022008
The paper examines the consequences of fiscal consolidation in times of persistently low growth and high unemployment … unemployment at five-year horizons are significantly above one during PR episodes. These results suggest that medium-term fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411769
of these estimates is the measure of labor market slack. The traditional measure of unemployment in Korea yields an … rather than registering as unemployed. This paper discusses a way in which the measure of unemployment can be broadened to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102193
The Great Recession pushed Japan’s unemployment rate to historic highs, but the increase has been small by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403441
using macroeconomic data on employment, unemployment, participation, and (for Canada) migration and real wages. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402300
While unemployment rates in Europe declined after the global financial crisis until 2018/19, the incidence of long …-term unemployment, the share of people who have been unemployed for more than one year to the total unemployed, remained high. Moreover …, the COVID-19 pandemic could aggravate the long-term unemployment. This paper explores factors associated with long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301932
Labor market informality is a pervasive feature of most developing economies. Motivated by the empirical regularity that the labor informality rate falls with GDP per capita, both at business cycle frequency and in a cross-section of countries, and that the Okun's coefficient falls with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392626
impact on aggregate labor market performance and unemployment. In a two-sector labor market model with free mobility of labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403794
This paper studies interactions between labor market institutions and unemployment dynamics in transition economies. It … main conclusions arises. First, higher unemployment benefits increase steady-state unemployment, and, during the transition … theoretically speed up the elimination of state sector jobs without affecting steady-state unemployment. These results are broadly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400421