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We study equity price volatility in general equilibrium with news shocks about future productivity and monetary policy … asset price volatility. We show that introducing news shocks in a canonical dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model may … not reduce asset price volatility under plausible parameter assumptions. This is because, in general equilibrium, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399366
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425646
portfolio theory without recourse to market imperfections. It also demonstrates that “Value-at-Risk” portfolio management rules … optimal to sell many higher-risk assets when a shock to one asset occurs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400415
This paper introduces the quantile regression- based Distance-to-Default to Probability of Default (DD-PD) mapping, which links individual firms' DD to their real world PD. Since changes in the DD depend on a handful of parameters, the mapping easily accommodates shocks arising from quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613371
The literature on leverage until now shows how an increase in volatility reduces leverage. However, in order to explain … pro-cyclical leverage it assumes that bad news increases volatility. This paper suggests a reason why bad news is more … often than not associated with higher future volatility. We show that, in a model with endogenous leverage and heterogeneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395754
The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395952
negative shock to economic activity in the late 1980s caused agents to discount market fundamentals. For Turkey and Pakistan it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397956
Using data for the major currencies from 1973 to 1994, we apply recent tests of asset price volatility to re …. Consistent with previous evidence from regression-based tests, most of the models that we examine are rejected by our volatility … “volatility”, however, may disguise the cause of rejection as excessive exchange rate volatility. This a Working Paper and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398025
This paper examines the evidence for the common assertion that the volatility of emerging stock markets has increased … volatility in recent years; indeed, it appears that volatility may have tended to fall rather than rise on average. The paper … should lead to a reduction in return volatility as risk is spread among a larger number of investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014398639
Statistical measures of the volatility of exchange rates, interest rates, and stock prices are estimated for a number … of countries. Periods of high volatility are identified and compared with periods of financial difficulty. The results … indicate that GARCH models of volatility could be potentially useful in assessing financial soundness. Daily data are more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399985