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The purpose of this study is demonstrating why entrepreneurs should monitor the broad dollar index. This paper explains the reason why the broad dollar index has become a risk (leverage) gauge since 2008 using the Covered Interest Parity (CIP). CIP can be viewed as a reflection of the shadow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406442
Contrary to most existing studies of the literature that assumed that the effects of real exchange rate (RE) misalignment on trade flows are symmetric, this paper considers a more general and realistic framework allowing for possible asymmetric effects. We use monthly time-series data over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083735
We examine the Exchange Rate Volatility (ERV) response to the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) shocks from a panel VAR perspective used for the first time in this context. Focusing on Emerging Market Economies (EME), our noteworthy findings postulate that (a) both home and foreign EPU shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831210
During the last decade, economists have intensively searched for evidence on the importance of the Balassa-Samuelson (B-S) hypothesis in explaining nominal convergence. One general result is that B-S can at best explain only part of the excess inflation observed in the European catching-up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074886
Since the demise of the Bretton Woods system, the yen has seen several episodes of strong appreciation, including in the late 1970s, after the 1985 Plaza Agreement, the early and late 1990s and after 2008. These appreciations have not only been associated with "expensive yen recessions"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863763
This paper presents new evidence on international trade and worker outcomes. It examines a big world event that … occurred in any of the world's four major currencies since the collapse of Bretton Woods. Exploiting this variation, the paper … intermediate imports. This provides new direct evidence that, in the modern world of global value chains, it is changes in the cost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868799
This paper investigates whether exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into import prices is a nonlinear phenomenon for five heavily indebted Euro area countries, namely the so-called GIIPS group (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain). Using logistic smooth transition models, we explore the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012797
than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on …-DCC specification. The t-DCC model also passes a number of VaR diagnostic tests over an evaluation sample. The estimation results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316934
in the estimation of an employment regression, focusing on the effect of exchange rate movements. Our estimates indicate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136773
There is increasing evidence that the interaction between shocks and labour market institutions is crucial to understanding the dynamics of employment. In this paper, we show that the inclusion of labour adjustment costs in a trade model affects the impact of exchange rate movements on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144390