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An Economic Model of the Covid-19 Epidemic : The Importance of Testing and Age-Specific Policies

Brotherhood, Luiz Mário - 2020

This paper investigates the role of testing and age-composition in the Covid-19 epidemic. We augment a standard SIR epidemiological model with individual choices regarding how much time to spend working and consuming outside the house, both of which increase the risk of transmission. Individuals...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833250

Should Contact Bans be Lifted in Germany? A Quantitative Prediction of its Effects

Donsimoni, Jean Roch - 2020

Many countries consider the lifting of restrictions of social contacts (RSC). We quantify the effects of RSC for Germany. We initially employ a purely statistical approach to predicting prevalence of COVID19 if RSC were upheld after April 20. We employ these findings and feed them into our...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836575

Projecting the Spread of COVID-19 for Germany

Donsimoni, Jean Roch - 2020

We model the evolution of the number of individuals that are reported to be sick with COVID-19 in Germany. Our theoretical framework builds on a continuous time Markov chain with four states: healthy without infection, sick, healthy after recovery or after infection but without symptoms and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837919

On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models

Koop, Gary - 2011

equilibrium (DSGE) models. Given the structure of DSGE models it may be difficult to determine whether a parameter is identified … not suffer from this difficulty and are relatively easy to compute. The first applies to DSGE models where the parameters … estimators. These results are illustrated by means of simple DSGE models …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126923

Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting

Askitas, Nikos - 2012

The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117001

The Japanese Lost Decade and Beyond : A Chain Reaction Theory Approach

Agnese, Pablo - 2011

The Japanese lost decade has become an intriguing puzzle for both economists and policy-makers alike, as the unemployment rate climbed to unprecedented levels and the growth rate of productivity decreased considerably. More recent times seem to present with a more optimistic outlook, but this is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130464

Evaluating Welfare and Economic Effects of Raised Fertility

Makarski, Krzysztof - 2019

Many countries consider rising fertility through pro-family policies as a solution to the fiscal pressure stemming from longevity. However, an increased number of births implies immediate private costs and only delayed public benefits of younger and larger population. We propose using an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870210

Inequality in an OLG Economy with Heterogeneous Cohorts and Pension Systems

Tyrowicz, Joanna - 2018

We analyze the consumption and wealth inequality in an OLG model with mandatory pension systems. Our framework features within cohort heterogeneity of endowments and heterogeneity of preferences. We allow for population aging and gradual decline in TFP growth. We show four main results. First,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915325

A Simple Method to Estimate Large Fixed Effects Models Applied to Wage Determinants and Matching

Mittag, Nikolas - 2017

Models with high dimensional sets of fixed effects are frequently used to examine, among others, linked employer-employee data, student outcomes and migration. Estimating these models is computationally difficult, so simplifying assumptions that are likely to cause bias are often invoked to make...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966061

Smooth Income Tax Schedules : Derivation and Consequences

Estévez Schwarz, Diana - 2018

Existing tax schedules are often overly complex and characterized by discontinuities in the marginal tax burden. In this paper we propose a class of progressive smooth functions to replace personal income tax schedules. These functions depend only on three meaningful parameters, and avoid the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919519