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We propose a specification test for a wide range of parametric models for the conditional distribution function of an outcome variable given a vector of covariates. The test is based on the Cramer-von Mises distance between an unrestricted estimate of the joint distribution function of the data,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110184
document that oil price changes have asymmetric effects on stock returns in some GCC countries, but not for others. More … stock returns to oil price changes, especially with regard to the existence of asymmetric behavior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314986
than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on … Engle (2002), and suggests the use of devolatized returns computed as returns standardized by realized volatilities rather …-DCC specification. The t-DCC model also passes a number of VaR diagnostic tests over an evaluation sample. The estimation results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316934
with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141228
The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117001
This review paper articulates the relationship between prediction market data and event studies, with a special focus … prediction markets can mitigate these biases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126921
individuals' sleep time exhibits both variability and volatility characterized by stationary autoregressive conditional … young children at home. Volatility is greater among parents with young children, slightly greater among men than women, but … independent of other demographics. A theory of economic incentives to minimize the dispersion of sleep predicts that higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083924
A substantial and rapidly growing literature has developed around estimating earnings gains from two-year college degrees using administrative data. These papers almost universally employ a person-level fixed effects strategy to estimate earnings premia net of fixed attributes. We note that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906533
This paper starts from a review of RCT studies in development economics, and documents many studies largely ignore attrition once attrition rates are found balanced between treatment arms. The paper analyzes the implications of attrition for the internal and external validity of the results of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957495
Traders in global markets operate at different local times-of-day. Suboptimal times-of-day may produce sleepiness due to daily variations in sleep/wake patterns and possibly also increased accumulation of hours awake. Global asset markets imply significantly increased heterogeneity in circadian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947730