Showing 1 - 10 of 844
US. We ask whether entrepreneurship exhibits hysteresis, defined as a macro dynamic structure in which cyclical … fluctuations have persistent effects on the natural rate of entrepreneurship. We find evidence of hysteresis in Spain, but not the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764085
Short-time work is a labor market policy that subsidizes working time reductions among firms in financial difficulty to prevent layoffs. Many OECD countries have used this policy in the Great Recession. This paper shows that the effects of short-time work are strongly time dependent and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920449
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future … shocks do not systematically lead to more persistent unemployment than monetary policy shocks, so these cannot explain the … rising persistence of unemployment. Second, monetary and fiscal policies can account for only part of the evolving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061955
In this paper, we investigate whether business cycles can imply sizable effects on average unemployment. First, using a … on unemployment: positive shocks reduce unemployment less than negative shocks increase it. For the observed process of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324775
We propose and estimate a model where unemployment fluctuations result from self-fulfilling changes in expected … European unemployment rates. They also generate positive comovements in macroeconomic variables and a large relative volatility … fact that liquidity constrained workers, facing earnings uncertainty in the context of imperfect unemployment insurance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157753
This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany. As detrending methods we apply the deterministic trend model, the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the Baxter-King filter and the structural time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137519
The international business cycle is very important for Latin America's economic performance as the recent global crisis vividly illustrated. This paper investigates how changes in trade linkages between China, Latin America, and the rest of the world have altered the transmission mechanism of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121741
This paper investigates the nature of the output-employment relationship by using the Turkish quarterly data for the period 1988-2008. Even if we fail to find a long-run relationship between aggregate output and total employment, there are long-run relationships for the aggregate output with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076156
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840446
The financial crisis led to a deep recession in many industrial countries. While large emerging countries recovered relatively quickly from the financial crisis, their performance deteriorated in the recent years, despite the modest recovery in advanced economies. The higher divergence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960257