We quantify and study state-level economic policy uncertainty. Tapping digital archives for nearly 3,500 local … newspapers, we construct three monthly indexes for each state: one that captures state and local sources of policy uncertainty … uncertainty much more than the average election. The COVID-19 pandemic drove huge increases in policy uncertainty and unemployment …

We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at … nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one …-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the …

capital returns using a performance measure and by using tests for mean-variance spanning. A risk-return trade-off is revealed …

compensating wage differential for job safety risk revealed in the labor market via hedonic equilibrium outcomes. The decisions in …

differences in risk aversion play no significant role in competitive (tournament) vs. piece-rate job choices and consequent gender … wage gaps. Subjects in the treatment experiments are sorted into relatively more and relatively less risk averse groupings …. Relatively less risk averse subjects are assigned to a risky job track involving a known constant probability of unemployment in …

In this paper, we empirically assess the causal relationship between trade and individual income risk and study the … from 1976 to 2012. Our estimates suggest substantial heterogeneity in labor income risk across workers in different entry … exports (per worker) are strongly and causally related to income risk: Imports increase risk and exports decrease risk, and …

Minimum wages alter the allocation of firm-idiosyncratic risk across workers. To establish this result, we focus on …

) we vary three payoff indices. Indices of risk and temptation capture the unilateral incentives to defect against … reduces cooperation. In neither study, nor in either subject pool of our second study, do we find a significant effect of risk …