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Real Wages and the Business Cycle in Germany

Marczak, Martyna - 2010

This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany. As detrending methods we apply the deterministic trend model, the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the Baxter-King filter and the structural time...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137519

The Variability and Volatility of Sleep : An Archetypal Approach

Hamermesh, Daniel S.; Pfann, Gerard A. - 2022

individuals' sleep time exhibits both variability and volatility characterized by stationary autoregressive conditional … young children at home. Volatility is greater among parents with young children, slightly greater among men than women, but … rates. Volatility in sleep spills over onto volatility in other personal activities, with no reverse causation onto sleep …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083924

Federal Minimum Wage Hikes Do Reduce Teenage Employment : The Time Series Effects of Minimum Wages in the US Revisited

Bazen, Stephen - 2016

In 2002 we published a paper in which we used state space time series methods to analyse the teenage employment‐federal minimum wage relationship in the US (Bazen and Marimoutou, 2002). The study used quarterly data for the 46 year period running from 1954 to 1999. We detected a small,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993959

Transmission of US and EU Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock to Asian Economies in Bad and Good Times

Balcilar, Mehmet - 2020

This study empirically examines the fragility of five major Asian economies (China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, and South Korea) to economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of US and EU, and oil prices in different state of the economies. To investigate these dynamics, we use the relative tail dependence...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833241

VC - A Method for Estimating Time-Varying Coefficients in Linear Models

Schlicht, Ekkehart - 2020

This paper describes a moments estimator for a standard state-space model with coefficients generated by a random walk. A penalized least squares estimation is linked to the GLS (Aitken) estimates of the corresponding linear model with time-invariant parameters. The VC estimates are moments...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843151

Housing Mobility and Downsizing at Older Ages in Britain and the United States

Banks, James W. - 2010

This paper investigates the effects of housing price risk on housing choices over the life-cycle. Housing price risk can be substantial but, unlike other risky assets which people can avoid, the fact that most people will eventually own their home creates an insurance demand for housing assets...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138268

Modelling Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate T Distribution

Pesaran, Bahram; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2021

than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on … suggest a general trend towards a lower level of return volatility, accompanied by a rising trend in conditional cross …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316934

Causal Effects of Monetary Shocks : Semiparametric Conditional Independence Tests with a Multinomial Propensity Score

Angrist, Joshua D.; Kuersteiner, Guido M. - 2021

Macroeconomists have long been concerned with the causal effects of monetary policy. When the identification of causal effects is based on a selection-on-observables assumption, non-causality amounts to the conditional independence of outcomes and policy changes. This paper develops a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013325071

Long Memory in Turkish Unemployment Rates

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2017

In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders of integration equal to or higher than 1 in most...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946569

Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting

Askitas, Nikos - 2012

The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117001