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Public Wages, Public Employment, and Business Cycle Volatility : Evidence from U.S. Metro Areas

A. Reicher, Claire - 2016

business cycle volatility, hinting at a stabilizing effect of public employment, while public wages correlate weakly and … positively with business cycle volatility, hinting at a destabilizing effect of public wages. To explain these relationships, we …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989839

Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting

Askitas, Nikos - 2012

The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117001

Why is Old Workers' Labor Market More Volatile? Unemployment Fluctuations Over the Life-Cycle

Hairault, Jean-Olivier - 2014

Since the last recession, it is usually argued that older workers are less affected by the economic downturn because their unemployment rate rose less than the one of prime-age workers. This view is a myth: older workers are more sensitive to the business cycle. We document volatilities of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055568

Government Deficit Shocks and Okun's Coefficient Volatility : New Insights on the Austerity Versus Growth Debate

Binh Thai Pham - 2019

Unites States of America (USA). We confirm the heterogeneity of Okun's coefficient across country, and its time … and USA in between. Policy wise, we claim that austerity policies may have unexpected adverse effects on job creation if …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864881

Real Wages and the Business Cycle in Germany

Marczak, Martyna - 2010

This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany. As detrending methods we apply the deterministic trend model, the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the Baxter-King filter and the structural time...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137519

The Cyclical Volatility of Labor Markets Under Frictional Financial Markets

Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas - 2010

Financial frictions are known to raise the volatility of economies to shocks (e.g. Bernanke andGertler 1989). We follow … this line of research to the labor literature concerned by the volatility of labor market outcomes to productivity shocks … are a good candidate to solve the volatility puzzle and rejoin Pissarides (2009) in arguing that hiring costs must be …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139045

Macroeconomic Volatilities and the Labor Market : First Results from the Euro Experiment

Merkl, Christian - 2010

This paper analyzes the effects of different labor market institutions on inflation and output volatility. The eurozone … theory. While labor market institutions have a large effect on output volatility, they do not seem to have much of an effect … on inflation volatility, which can also be rationalized by our theoretical model …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143682

Extensive vs. Intensive Margin in Germany and the United States : Any Differences?

Merkl, Christian - 2010

This paper analyzes the role of the extensive vis-à-vis the intensive margin of labor adjustment in Germany and in the United States. The contribution is twofold. First, we provide an update of older U.S. studies and confirm the view that the extensive margin (i.e., the adjustment in the number...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139060

Cyclical Variation in Labor Hours and Productivity Using the ATUS

Burda, Michael C. - 2013

We examine monthly variation in weekly work hours using data for 2003-10 from the Current Population Survey (CPS) on hours/worker, from the Current Employment Survey (CES) on hours/job, and from the American Time Use Survey (ATUS) on both. The ATUS data minimize recall difficulties and constrain...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089287

Frictional Unemployment with Stochastic Bubbles

Vuillemey, Guillaume - 2016

Bubbles are recurrent events, which contribute to both macroeconomic and employment volatility. We introduce stochastic …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981503