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which ムobservedメ inflation persistence at the aggregate level is due to aggregation and/or common unobserved factors. Our … persistence of the aggregate inflation … Carlo experiments, where we also study the estimation of the aggregate effects of micro and macro shocks. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129942
associated with significant differences in the response of inflation to unemployment and exchange rate shocks. More wage … coordination and higher union density flatten the Phillips curve and increase the inflation response to the real exchange rate, i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014013
case of female unemployment and the degree of persistence is higher in the cases of female and youth unemployment series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946569
The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117001
We show that the main nonparametric identification finding of Abbring and Van den Berg (2003b, Econometrica) for the effect of a timing-chosen treatment on an event duration of interest does not hold. The main problem is that the identification is based on the competing-risks identification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981520
endogenous variables and nonadditive errors in the outcome equation. It is suitable, e.g., for estimation of the average returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777027
for services sectors. It reflects national inflation and productivity growth, while labour market tightness is negligible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144083
We propose a specification test for a wide range of parametric models for the conditional distribution function of an outcome variable given a vector of covariates. The test is based on the Cramer-von Mises distance between an unrestricted estimate of the joint distribution function of the data,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110184
We implement a survey of Dutch households in which random subsets of respondents receive information about inflation …. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect … subsequent monthly consumption decisions relative to those in a control group. The causal effects of elevated inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864876
This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany. As detrending methods we apply the deterministic trend model, the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the Baxter-King filter and the structural time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137519