produce lower autocorrelation in the MCMC draws. We also explain how to use the MCMC draws to calculate the marginal effects … shown to perform extremely well. Furthermore, we implement the proposed framework to study crime recidivism in Quebec, a … implemented "tough-on-crime" policy of the Canadian government has been largely successful in reducing the probability of repeat …

presented points to a causal effect of the IGESP on crime. The most conservative estimates indicate a reduction of 24% in … property crimes and 13% in personal crimes. There is also evidence that the IGESP is associated with improved police response … represented by the program may constitute a first-order factor in a successful policy for fighting crime …

. We also show that including covariates in the estimation is not only necessary for consistency when the instrumental …

endogeneity and attrition/non-response bias, using two instrumental variables. Making use of a discrete instrument for the …

the linearity restriction in the IV estimation changes the qualitative conclusions about the relevant economic theory and … restriction in IV estimation, and discusses possible remedies. We first examine the biases due to nonlinearity in the commonly … where theory suggests a nonlinear relationship, yet previous research has used linear IV estimators. We find that relaxing …

between unemployment and crime also depends on preexisting local crime levels. In order to analyze conjectured nonlinearities … quantile regressions confirm the positive link between unemployment and crime for property crimes, results for assault differ … with respect to the method of estimation. Whereas conventional mean regressions do not show any significant effect (which …