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By using a nonlinear VAR model, we investigate whether the response of the US stock and housing markets to uncertainty shocks depends on financial conditions. Our model allows us to change the response of the US financial markets to volatility shocks in periods of normal and financial distress....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406435
We implement a survey of Dutch households in which random subsets of respondents receive information about inflation …. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect … subsequent monthly consumption decisions relative to those in a control group. The causal effects of elevated inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864876
chain reactions, and provides new evidence on the long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the US. It is argued that … inflation/unemployment responses to money growth shocks. SVAR (structural vector autoregression) and GMM (generalised method of … and real sides of the economy are symbiotic. In the light of the significant and robust long-run inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158516
This paper analyses the relation between US inflation and unemployment from the perspective of quot;frictional growth … policy has not only persistent, but permanent real effects, giving rise to a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. We … the US unemployment and inflation trajectories during the nineties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776513
In models with complete markets, targeting core inflation enables monetary policy to maximize welfare by replicating … stabilize price movements in the flexible price sector. Also, in the presence of financial frictions, stabilizing core inflation … frictions a welfare-maximizing central bank should adopt flexible headline inflation targeting a target based on headline rather …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139035
We model empirically the role of labor market institutions in affecting the response of inflation to labor market and …-country differences in inflation adjustment for the "sheltered" (non-trading) sector; the effects in the "exposed" (trading) sector are … the Phillips curve in both sectors. More active LM policies also reduce the persistence of inflation. However, but only in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075782
associated with significant differences in the response of inflation to unemployment and exchange rate shocks. More wage … coordination and higher union density flatten the Phillips curve and increase the inflation response to the real exchange rate, i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014013
countries and non-Inflation Targeting countries, Section 5 uses panel estimation methods including GMM techniques on different …This paper evaluates the success of Inflation Targeting on inflation and growth on a large panel data set of both … authors have used different estimation methods on different samples of data. Some of the differences in results may also be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833231
- although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly … asserted that, in the context of the new Phillips curve (NPC), inflation is a jump variable. We argue that this persistency … setting (in which real variables not only affect inflation, but are also influenced by it), standard wage-price staggering …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777470
The interest rate is generally considered as an important driver of macroeconomic investment. As an innovation, this paper derives the exact shape of the "hysteretic" impact of changes in the interest rate on macroeconomic investment under the scenarios of both certainty and uncertainty. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863765