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The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future U.S. recessions might look more like the Eurosclerosis experience of the 1980s than traditional V-shaped recoveries of the past. In this paper, we revisit possible explanations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061955
, phenomena, and history. Given the key role that the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU) has in the …, identifying methodological strengths and the weaknesses in the body of the macroeconomic research about the concept of NAIRU. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118538
The U.S. economy is recovering from the financial crisis and ensuing deep recession, but the unemployment rate has remained stubbornly high. Some have argued that the persistent elevation of unemployment relative to historical norms reflects the fact that the shocks that hit the economy were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122681
This article explores the long-run relationship between unemployment rate and labor force participation rate in Canada. The cointegration analysis vindicates the existence of a long-run relationship between these two variables. This finding leads us to doubt the pertinence of the unemployment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983895
We reconsider the central role of the natural rate of unemployment (NRU) in forming policy decisions. We show that the unemployment rate does not gravitate towards the NRU due to frictional growth, a phenomenon that encapsulates the interplay between lagged adjustment processes and growth in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779114
The conventional wisdom that inflation and unemployment are unrelated in the long-run implies the compartmentalisation of macroeconomics. While one branch of the literature models inflation dynamics and estimates the unemployment rate compatible with inflation stability, another one determines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317465
In this paper, we argue that credit market imperfections impact not only the level of unemployment, but also its persistence. For this purpose, we first develop a theoretical model based on the equilibrium matching framework of Mortensen and Pissarides (1999) and Pissarides (2000) where we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155160
This paper provides a model of "social hysteresis" whereby long, deep recessions demotivate workers and thereby lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080876
'play' area. Second, we apply an algorithm describing path-dependent play-hysteresis to estimate investment hysteresis using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863789
This paper explores the influence of wage and price staggering on monetary persistence. We show that, for plausible parameter values, wage and price staggering are complementary in generating monetary persistence. We do so by proposing the new measure of quantitative inertia, after discussing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316832