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types of labor, the current coronavirus crisis will have a strong and negative impact on the German economy according to the … expectations up to May 2020, we estimate that the coronavirus-related decrease in firms' expectations about the business cycle can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831092
We examine the revenue and redistributive effects of tax policy reforms in twelve European countries over the decade between the financial crisis and the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, setting them against the implications of a hypothetical system reflecting the extent of fiscal drag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030811
This paper studies short-time work arrangements (ERTEs) when aggregate risk is partially sector-specific. In Spain, the Great Recession and the pandemic recession (aka the Great Contagion) can both be understood as being driven partially by large sector-specific shocks. However, the latter shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357430
This paper studies the determinants of firms' business outlook and managerial mitigation strategies in the wake of the COVID-19 crisis using a representative panel of German firms. We first demonstrate that the crisis amplifies pre-crisis weaknesses: Firms that appear relatively weak before the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833870
Covid-19 and the measures taken to contain it have led to unprecedented constraints on work and leisure activities, across the world. This paper uses nationally representative surveys to document how people of different ages and incomes have been affected across six countries (China, South...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831094
Using a survey module administered in late March 2020, we analyze how working hours change under the social distancing regulations enacted to fight the COViD-19 pandemic. We study the Netherlands, which are a prototypical Western European country, both in terms of its welfare system and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836556
We explore impacts of the pandemic crisis and associated restrictions to economic activity on paid and unpaid work for men and women in the UK. Using data from the Covid-19 supplement of Understanding Society, we find evidence that labour market outcomes of men and women were roughly equally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315259
It has been found that migrants and natives are affected differently by fluctuations in the business cycle. This paper analyses whether this is the case when considering the most recent economic downturn triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic. By using UK data, it finds that unemployment has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014087393
This paper investigates the impact of macroeconomic shocks on infant mortality in India and investigates likely mechanisms. A recent OECD-dominated literature shows that mortality at most ages is pro-cyclical but similar analyses for poorer countries are scarce, and both income risk and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759709
This paper provides estimates of the economic impact of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in China and India for the period 2012-2030. Our estimates are derived using WHO's EPIC model of economic growth, which focuses on the negative effects of NCDs on labor supply and capital accumulation. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076812