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density function with higher density and thereby generate large, asymmetric job-finding rate and unemployment reactions. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996526
the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that … uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a significant impact on the U.S. unemployment rate. We then develop a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829214
We analyze changes in unemployment, marginal labor force attachment and participation in Canada and the U.S.. Using two … complementary decompositions, we show the importance for the comparative evolution of aggregate unemployment of changes in the … marginally attached displaying behavior lying between unemployment and non-attachment. The three non-employment states are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956011
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future … shocks do not systematically lead to more persistent unemployment than monetary policy shocks, so these cannot explain the … rising persistence of unemployment. Second, monetary and fiscal policies can account for only part of the evolving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061955
Standard macroeconomic models underpredict the volatility of unemployment fluctuations. A common solution is to assume … jobs. This form of wage rigidity does not affect job creation and thus cannot explain the unemployment volatility puzzle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324956
We develop a multi-sectoral matching model to predict the impact of the lockdown on the US unemployment, considering … and business closures that hit the workers with the first level of education explains the abruptness of the unemployment …-crisis unemployment level could be reached in 2024 in a scenario with a double wave. In the same scenario, a calibration on French data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829211
underlying theory is the search and matching model, with workers and firms engaging in costly search leading to random matching …. The Beveridge curve depicts the steady state of the model, whereby inflows into unemployment are equal to the outflows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317304
We use a novel approach to studying the heterogeneity in the job finding rates of the nonemployed by classifying the nonemployed by labor force status (LFS) histories, instead of using only one-month LFS. Job finding rates differ substantially across LFS histories: they are 25-30% among those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013042984
The empirical literature on employer learning assumes that employers learn about unobserved ability differences across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237689
Using the new AWFP dataset that covers all German establishments, we document a substantial cross-sectional heterogeneity of establishments' average real wages over the business cycle. While the median establishments' real wages are procyclical, there is a large fraction of establishments with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946571