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Predictability of Asset Returns and the Efficient Market Hypothesis

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010

This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141228

Investigating the Asymmetric Impact of Oil Prices on GCC Stock Markets

Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine; Ben Naceur, Samy; Kanaan, … - 2021

This paper investigates the presence of asymmetric relationship between oil price movements and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets. We propose the implementation of nonlinear vector smooth transition regression (VSTR) models which offer a greater flexibility when modelling the possible...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314986

Testing CAPM with a Large Number of Assets

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2012

This paper is concerned with testing the time series implications of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) due to Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965), when the number of securities, N, is large relative to the time dimension, T, of the return series. In the case of cross-sectionally correlated...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107698

Trading While Sleepy? Circadian Mismatch and Excess Volatility in a Global Experimental Asset Market

Dickinson, David L. - 2017

Traders in global markets operate at different local times-of-day. Suboptimal times-of-day may produce sleepiness due to daily variations in sleep/wake patterns and possibly also increased accumulation of hours awake. Global asset markets imply significantly increased heterogeneity in circadian...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947730

Modelling Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate T Distribution

Pesaran, Bahram; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2021

than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on …-DCC specification. The t-DCC model also passes a number of VaR diagnostic tests over an evaluation sample. The estimation results … suggest a general trend towards a lower level of return volatility, accompanied by a rising trend in conditional cross …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316934

Give Me Your Wired and Your Highly Skilled : Measuring the Impact of Immigration Policy on Employers and Shareholders

Lin, Carl - 2013

The paper links finance theory to labor economics and political economy in the context of migration and immigration policy. Most research treating the impact of immigration has focused on the consequences for employees as measured by wages, earnings, and employment. Less is known about the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092819

Private Information, Human Capital, andOptimal “Home Bias” in Financial Markets

Ehrlich, Isaac; Shin, Jong Kook; Yin, Yong - Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit <Bonn> - 2011

By allowing for imperfectly informed markets and the role of private information, we offer newinsights about observed deviations of portfolio concentrations in domestic relative to foreignrisky assets, or “home bias”, from what standard finance models predict. Our model ascribesthe...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009522205

Stock Market Returns and Consumption

Di Maggio, Marco - 2018

This paper employs Swedish data on households' stock holdings to investigate how consumption responds to changes in stock market returns. We instrument the actual capital gains and dividend payments with past portfolio weights. Unrealized capital gains lead to a marginal propensity to consume...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925516

Risk Sharing Within and Outside the Firm : The Disparate Effects of Wrongful Discharge Laws on Expected Stock Returns

Mahlstedt, Robert; Weber, Rüdiger - 2021

We study the interrelation between two types of risk sharing -- within the firm and on capital markets -- by analyzing the effect of wrongful-discharge laws (WDLs) on stock returns. Consistent with rational, risk-based pricing, the effect on returns is linked to how shareholders and workers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246408

Risk Sharing within and Outside the Firm : The Disparate Effects of Wrongful Discharge Laws on Expected Stock Returns

Mahlstedt, Robert; Weber, Rüdiger - 2021

We study the effect of wrongful-discharge laws (WDL) on firm-level stock returns. We find disparate effects depending on the exact design of the law. Consistent with rational, risk-based pricing, the effect on returns seems to be linked to how firms share systematic risk with their employees...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314816