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How does the asymmetry of labor market institutions affect the adjustment of a currency union to shocks? To answer this question, this paper sets up a dynamic currency union model with monopolistic competition and sticky prices, hiring frictions and real wage rigidities. In our analysis, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107467
lead to man-cessions, i.e. employment falls and more strongly so for men. By contrast, an expansionary fiscal shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024941
Recent events suggest that uncertainty changes play a major role in U.S. labor market fluctuations. This study analyzes the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829214
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864881
Over the past two decades, technological progress has been biased towards making skilled labor more productive. What does skill-biased technological change imply for business cycles? To answer this question, we construct a quarterly series for the skill premium from the CPS and use it to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158513
world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … times since mid-1990s. At the same time, the long-term impact of a US GDP shock has halved, while the transmission of shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121741
year after the shock, firms compensate for their immediate reaction, with the result that no permanent effect is observable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925498
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840446
In recent decades most developed countries have experienced an increase in income inequality. In this paper, we use an equilibrium search framework to shed additional light on what is causing an income distribution to change. The major benefit of the model is that it can accommodate shocks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147124
This paper explores the geographic overlap of trade and technology shocks across local labor markets in the United States. Regional exposure to technological change, as measured by specialization in routine task-intensive production and clerical occupations, is largely uncorrelated with regional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035727