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Prediction markets – markets used to forecast future events – have been used to accurately forecast the outcome of political contests, sporting events, and, occasionally, economic outcomes. This chapter summarizes the latest research on prediction markets in order to further their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103480
We examine the (potentially nonlinear) relationship between inequality and growth using a method which does not require an a priori assumption on the underlying functional form. This approach reveals a plateau completely missed by commonly used (nonlinear) parametric approaches - the economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029626
There is increasing evidence that the interaction between shocks and labour market institutions is crucial to understanding the dynamics of employment. In this paper, we show that the inclusion of labour adjustment costs in a trade model affects the impact of exchange rate movements on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144390
shock. Third, we present evidence coherent with the idea that more leveraged sectors experience larger employment volatility … in normal times deep capital markets lead to tight labor markets. After an adverse liquidity shock, firms that rely much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099747
optimal transport problems. Classical optimal transport theory species the matching affinity and determines the optimal joint …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966059
This paper develops and estimates a search model of the labor market where jobs are characterized by wages and work-hours flexibility. Flexibility is valued by workers, and is costly to provide for employers. The model generates observed wage distributions directly related to the preference for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146468
We investigate the evolution of health inequality over the life-course. Health is modeled as a latent variable that is determined by three factors: endowments, and permanent and transitory shocks. We employ Simulated Minimum Distance and the Panel Study of Income Dynamics to estimate the model....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157018
Egypt, Morocco and Tunisia face challenges competing on the global markets, as shown by their relatively low and stagnant export shares. The limited export competitiveness has hampered external demand, growth and employment. Applying, for the first time to North Africa, the stock-flow approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071447
This paper is an innovative attempt to empirically investigate the determinants of crude oil prices. The main objective is to distinguish between short- and long-term effects of some covariates on oil prices. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach is applied to daily series spanning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242432
During the transition toward a market economy, Russian workers have had to face important structural changes in the labour market as well as dramatic changes in their real earnings. In the process, the wage gap between men and women has varied wildly over that period. In recent years, young...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324937