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uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a significant impact on the U.S. unemployment rate. We then develop a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829214
lead to man-cessions, i.e. employment falls and more strongly so for men. By contrast, an expansionary fiscal shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024941
than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC estimation procedure is applied to a portfolio of daily returns on … suggest a general trend towards a lower level of return volatility, accompanied by a rising trend in conditional cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316934
volatility of both inflation and unemployment differentials. Finally, we show that it is important to take into account the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107467
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864881
We study workers' idiosyncratic earnings risk over the life-cycle using a German administrative data set. Positive and … incomplete markets model. Moreover, age-varying risk implies a linear increase in consumption inequality late in working life …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948657
This paper investigates the presence of asymmetric relationship between oil price movements and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets. We propose the implementation of nonlinear vector smooth transition regression (VSTR) models which offer a greater flexibility when modelling the possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314986
In this paper we study the importance of marriage for interstate risk sharing. We find that US states in which married … just improve the allocation of risk at the individual level, but also have implications for the allocation of risk at the … more aggregated state-level. Quantitatively, the impact of marriage on interstate risk sharing varies over divorce regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324925
substantial. The second result is that true wage risk is almost three times as large as the wage variance observed after job … mobility, which is what other papers in the literature have called wage risk. This suggests a very different picture of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016246
This study empirically examines the fragility of five major Asian economies (China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, and South Korea) to economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of US and EU, and oil prices in different state of the economies. To investigate these dynamics, we use the relative tail dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833241