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from the right and one from the left, using panel data from 290 municipal election districts. To identify causal effects … incumbency advantage in the next election. Exploring possible mechanisms, we find evidence that when the anti-immigrant party … wins a marginal seat, they experience higher levels of politician turnover before the next election and receive negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911202
This paper develops a theoretical framework that makes predictions on (a) the conditions under which a populist party decides to run and the policy position it takes and (b) voters' response under different electoral systems. We test these predictions using data on Italian municipal elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315222
This is the first study to examine the effect of experiencing a widespread, deadly epidemic on voting behavior. Using data on elections to the U.S House of Representatives and leveraging cross-district variation in HIV/AIDS mortality during the period 1983-1987, we document the effects of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829210
narrow margins of victory in a Regression Discontinuity framework. The election of Lega Nord mayor discourages immigrants …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960288
This paper estimates the causal impact of electing criminally accused politicians and their nature of criminality on crime in India. We exploit the quasi-random variation in the outcome of close elections between candidates with and without criminal accusations to instrument the share of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083716
This paper documents an important but mostly overlooked reason for female underrepresentation in politics: gender gaps in the recontest likelihood of candidates. Using hand-collected data on 116,185 candidates in four consecutive local council elections (2001-2016) in a German state, we provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083935
on higher candidate salience in small municipalities. We also quantify the election advantage of a slate being randomly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039606
We analyze the impact of the quality of candidates running for a mayor position on turnout using a large data set on Italian municipal elections held from 1993 to 2011. We firstly estimate a municipal fixed effects model and show that an increase in the average quality of candidates competing at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055228
In this paper, we focus on the effect of belonging to one or more minority groups on the probability of success in primary elections. Using a unique dataset of candidates in Israeli primaries, we find that while being a new immigrant, a woman or a Muslim decreases the chances of electoral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925499
Is electoral competition good for political selection? To address this issue, we introduce a theoretical model in which ideological parties select candidates between party loyalists and experts, and allocate them into the electoral districts. Non-ideological voters, who care about national and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158061