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The differential response of cash reserves of member banks and nonmember banks not subject to the 1936-37 increase in reserve requirements is estimated to determine whether the 1937-38 recession was caused by the increase in reserve requirements. We identify 17 states that maintained constant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265639
volatility of output and its components. Specifically, the change in the joint stochastic process accounts for close to 70 … percent of the moderation in output volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292361
business cycle. Second, a shock that moves the land price is capable of generating large volatility in unemployment. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397671
This paper formulates and estimates multistage production functions for children's cognitive and noncognitive skills. Skills are determined by parental environments and investments at different stages of childhood. We estimate the elasticity of substitution between investments in one period and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274255
Contemporary observers viewed the recession that began in the summer of 1929 as nothing extraordinary. Recent analyses have shown that the subsequent large deflation was econometrically forecastable, implying that a driving force in the depression was the high expected real interest rates faced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318331
The Great Moderation refers to the fall in U.S. output growth volatility in the mid-1980s. At the same time, the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292243
This paper analyses the causes of banking crises by the way of a historical comparative case study. Moreover, the analysis draws on theories elaborated by the economist Hyman Minsky. The evidence presented suggests that the fundamental causes of the compared crises are found in the macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143791
In this paper we show analytically, with simulation experiments and with actual data that a mismatch between the time scale of a DSGE model and that of the time series data used for its estimation generally creates identfication problems, introduces estimation bias and distorts the results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143827
A mismatch between the time scale of a structural VAR (SVAR) model and that of the time series data used for its estimation can have serious consequences for identification, estimation and interpretation of the impulse response functions. However, the use of mixed frequency data, combined with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143839
This paper analyses the effect of child labor on household labor supply using 1920 US Census micro data. The aim of the analysis is to understand who in the household benefits from child labor. In order to identify a source of exogenous variation in child labor I use State-specific child labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284091