Showing 1 - 10 of 652
We compare the causal effects of forward guidance communication about future interest rates on households' expectations … of inflation, mortgage rates, and unemployment to the effects of communication about future inflation in a randomized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180172
. New policy frameworks are unlikely to address this feature of expectations. Only a communication strategy that breaks what …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015423039
Using Italian data that includes both inflation forecasts of firms and external information on their balance sheets, we study the causal effect of changes in the dispersion of beliefs about future inflation on the misallocation of resources. We find that as disagreement increases, so does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296850
We implement a survey of Dutch households in which random subsets of respondents receive information about inflation. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect subsequent monthly consumption decisions relative to those in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012141135
Rising government debt levels around the world are raising the specter that authorities might seek to inflate away the debt. In theoretical settings where fiscal policy "dominates" monetary policy, higher debt without offsetting changes in primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012498015
This paper examines how homeownership status shapes attention to inflation and its impact on durable consumption. Using randomized controlled trials on U.S. households (2021–2023), we document systematic heterogeneity in responses to inflation-related information. Homeowners exhibit greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015398928
Using a large-scale survey of U.S. households during the Covid-19 pandemic, we study how new information about fiscal and monetary policy responses to the crisis affects households' expectations. We provide random subsets of participants in the Nielsen Homescan panel with different combinations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270033
We provide a framework to disentangle preferences and beliefs in health behavior and apply it to lockdown compliance in the UK. We estimate a model of compliance choice with uncertain costs and benefits to quantify utility tradeoffs, decompose group differences in compliance, and compute...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296887
This paper uses matched employer-employee panel data to show that individual job satisfaction is higher when other workers in the same establishment are better-paid. This runs contrary to a large literature which has found evidence of income comparisons in subjective well-being. We argue that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762040
We contribute to the literature on well-being and comparisons by appealing to new Danish data dividing the country up into around 9,000 small neighbourhoods. Administrative data provides us with the income of every person in each of these neighbourhoods. This income information is matched to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703535