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On the estimation and forecasting of international migration: how relevant is heterogeneity across countries?

Brücker, Herbert; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2005

This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than … estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample forecasting results indicate the following: (i) the standard fixed effects … variables estimators, (iv) forecasting performance of heterogenous estimators is mediocre in our data set. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267584

On the Estimation and Forecasting of International Migration: How Relevant Is Heterogeneity Across Countries?

Brücker, Herbert; Siliverstovs, Boriss - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2005

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703752

Immigration, Housing Rents, and Residential Segregation: Evidence from Syrian Refugees in Turkey

Balkan, Binnur; Tok, Elif Ozcan; Torun, Huzeyfe; Tumen, … - 2018

The massive inflow of Syrian refugees is argued to drastically affect various social and economic outcomes in the hosting countries and regions. In this paper, we use micro-level data to investigate whether the Syrian refugee inflows have affected the market for housing rentals in Turkey. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931576

The Value of Connections: Evidence from the Italian-American Mafia

Mastrobuoni, Giovanni - 2014

Using declassified Federal Bureau of Narcotics records on 800 US Mafia members active in the 1950s and 1960s, and on their connections within the organized crime network, I estimate network effects on gangsters' economic status. Lacking information on criminal proceeds, I measure economic status...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333271

The Value of Connections: Evidence from the Italian-American Mafia

Mastrobuoni, Giovanni - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2014

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010739413

Predicting Re-Employment: Machine Learning versus Assessments by Unemployed Workers and by Their Caseworkers

van den Berg, Gerard J.; Kunaschk, Max; Lang, Julia; … - 2023

Predictions of whether newly unemployed individuals will become long-term unemployed are important for the planning and policy mix of unemployment insurance agencies. We analyze unique data on three sources of information on the probability of re-employment within 6 months (RE6), for the same...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014377329

Contracting Out Mandatory Counselling and Training for Long-Term Unemployed: Private For-Profit or Non-Profit, or Keep It Public?

Cockx, Bart; Baert, Stijn - 2015

This study evaluates the effectiveness of contracting out mandatory publicly provided counselling and training for long-term unemployed in Flanders (Belgium) to private for-profit and non-profit organisations (FPOs and NPOs). A multivariate transition model exploits timing-of-events and novel...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401728

Job Location Decisions and the Effect of Children on the Employment Gender Gap

Albanese, Andrea; Nieto, Adrián; Tatsiramos, Konstantinos - 2022

We study the effect of childbirth on local and non-local employment dynamics for both men and women using Belgian social security and geo-location data. Applying an event-study design that accounts for treatment effect heterogeneity, we show that 75 percent of the effect of the birth of a first...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013351892

Regional Policy Evaluation: Interactive Fixed Effects and Synthetic Controls

Gobillon, Laurent; Magnac, Thierry - 2013

In this paper, we investigate the use of interactive effect or linear factor models in regional policy evaluation. We contrast treatment effect estimates obtained by Bai (2009)'s least squares method with the popular difference in difference estimates as well as with estimates obtained using...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319491

On the stability of the German Beveridge curve: a spatial econometric perspective

Kosfeld, Reinhold; Dreger, Christian; Eckey, Hans-Friedrich - 2006

In this paper, the framework of the aggregated Beveridge curve is used to investigate the effectiveness of the job matching process using German regional labour market data. For a fixed matching technology, the Beveridge curve postulates a negative relationship between the unemployment rate and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267528