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We implement a survey-based randomized information treatment that generates independent variation in the inflation … expectations and the uncertainty about future inflation of European households. This variation allows us to assess how both first … and second moments of inflation expectations separately affect subsequent household decisions. We document several key …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015096780
This paper investigates whether exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into import prices is a nonlinear phenomenon for five heavily indebted Euro area countries, namely the so-called GIIPS group (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain). Using logistic smooth transition models, we explore the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401735
An empirical analysis of the impact of labour market structures on the response of inflation to macroeconomic shocks is … presented. Results based on a 20 country panel show that if labour market coordination is high, the effect on inflation of … inflation to its reduced form determinants. These findings are attributed to the behaviour of wages following movements in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262222
Central bankers are raising interest rates on the assumption that wage-push inflation may lead to stagflation. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013470458
inflation and measures welfare changes using the compensating variation and equivalent incomes in a cross-national comparative … perspective. The impact of inflation depends on good-specific price increases and budget shares. Budget shares for necessities (e … necessities has resulted in higher inflation in poorer countries. Counter to the media narrative, the distributional impact is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013470501
We develop a theory of labor markets in a monetary economy with four realistic features: search frictions, worker productivity shocks, wage rigidity, and two-sided lack of commitment. Due to the non-Coasean nature of labor contracts, inefficient job separations occur in the form of endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296865
What are the broad societal implications of inflation and unemployment? Analyzing a dataset of over 1.9 million …, we find that both inflation and unemployment have a negative link with confidence in financial institutions. While … inflation is generally unassociated with confidence in government and leadership approval, unemployment still has a strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014469790
Two extraordinary U.S. labor market developments facilitated the sharp disinflation in 2022-23 without raising the unemployment rate. First, pandemic-driven infection worries and social distancing intentions caused a sizable drag on labor force participation that began to reverse in the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015045483
estimates. The research period has been characterised by high labour demand, negative supply shocks, high levels of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015045497
Bei Vorliegen nach unten starrer Nominallöhne erschwert niedrige Inflation Reallohnanpassungen und führt so … Auswirkungen bei sehr niedriger Inflation nicht zu vernachlässigen sind. Die Ergebnisse dieser Literatur sollten daher bei der …In the presence of downwardly rigid nominal wages, low inflation may lead to higher equilibrium unemployment by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261537