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The Yen Exchange Rate and the Hollowing Out of the Japanese Industry

Belke, Ansgar H.; Volz, Ulrich - 2019

Since the demise of the Bretton Woods system, the yen has seen several episodes of strong appreciation, including in the late 1970s, after the 1985 Plaza Agreement, the early and late 1990s and after 2008. These appreciations have not only been associated with "expensive yen recessions"...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012141202

On the estimation and forecasting of international migration: how relevant is heterogeneity across countries?

Brücker, Herbert; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2005

This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than … estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample forecasting results indicate the following: (i) the standard fixed effects … variables estimators, (iv) forecasting performance of heterogenous estimators is mediocre in our data set. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267584

Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks

Timmermann, Allan; Pettenuzzo, Davide; Pesaran, … - 2004

This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276180

Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pettenuzzo, Davide; Timmermann, Allan - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2004

This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763710

On the Estimation and Forecasting of International Migration: How Relevant Is Heterogeneity Across Countries?

Brücker, Herbert; Siliverstovs, Boriss - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2005

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703752

The Pass-Through of Exchange Rate in the Context of the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine; Rault, Christophe - 2015

This paper investigates whether exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into import prices is a nonlinear phenomenon for five heavily indebted Euro area countries, namely the so-called GIIPS group (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain). Using logistic smooth transition models, we explore the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401735

Oil price shocks and labor market fluctuations

Ordóñez, Javier; Sala, Héctor; Silva, José Ignacio - 2010

We examine the impact of real oil price shocks on labor market flows in the US We first use smooth transition regression (STR) models to investigate to what extent oil prices can be considered as a driving force of labor market fluctuations. Then we develop and calibrate a modified version of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276723

Investigating the Asymmetric Impact of Oil Prices on GCC Stock Markets

Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine; Ben Naceur, Sami; Kanaan, Oussama - 2020

This paper investigates the presence of asymmetric relationship between oil price movements and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets. We propose the implementation of nonlinear vector smooth transition regression (VSTR) models which offer a greater flexibility when modelling the possible...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012322652

Oil Price Shocks and Labor Market Fluctuations

Ordóñez, Javier; Sala, Hector; Silva, José I. - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2010

We examine the impact of real oil price shocks on labor market flows in the U.S. We first use smooth transition regression (STR) models to investigate to what extent oil prices can be considered as a driving force of labor market fluctuations. Then we develop and calibrate a modified version of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008548709

Volatility Spillover between Oil Prices and Main Exchange Rates: Evidence from a DCC-GARCH-Connectedness Approach

Ben Salem, Leila; Zayati, Montassar; Nouira, Ridha; … - 2024

This paper investigates the co-movements of oil prices and the exchange rates of 10 top oil-importing and oil-exporting countries. Firstly, we estimated the total static spillover index based on vector autoregressive (VAR) models. Secondly, we adopted the recent DCC-GARCH-CONNECTEDNESS approach...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014533995

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