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period. The workers' bargaining power in the hours negotiation affects both unemployment volatility and inflation persistence …. The closer to zero this parameter, (i) the more firms adjust on the intensive margin, reducing employment volatility, (ii … the new entrants wage rigidity required to match observed unemployment volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277123
In this paper we incorporate a labor market with matching frictions and wage rigidities into the New Keynesian business … cycle model. In particular, we analyze the effect of a monetary policy shock and investigate how labor market frictions … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267287
equilibrium (DSGE) models. Given the structure of DSGE models it may be difficult to determine whether a parameter is identified … not suffer from this difficulty and are relatively easy to compute. The first applies to DSGE models where the parameters … estimators. These results are illustrated by means of simple DSGE models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278760
This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a Bayesian estimation and prediction procedure that allows for the possibility of new breaks over the forecast horizon, taking account of the size and duration of past breaks (if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276180
Macroeconomists have long been concerned with the causal effects of monetary policy. When the identification of causal effects is based on a selection-on-observables assumption, non-causality amounts to the conditional independence of outcomes and policy changes. This paper develops a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270625
volatility of both inflation and unemployment differentials. Finally, we show that it is important to take into account the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282566
Standard macroeconomic models underpredict the volatility of unemployment fluctuations. A common solution is to assume … jobs. This form of wage rigidity does not affect job creation and thus cannot explain the unemployment volatility puzzle. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270804
Children affect the after-birth labor force participation of women in two ways. Directly, the time spent in child-care reduces the labor market effort. The time spent out of the labor market while on maternity leave alters women's participation experience and, thus, indirectly affects subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261954
In this paper we estimate the causal effect of children on the labor supply of women using panel data on women from the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79). We examine the effect of children both prior to and after birth as well as how the effect of children varies with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262003
We analyze the effect of land reform legislation on labor market dynamics in the Romanian economy. We show that the agricultural sector, a source of precarious employment, has become an absorbing state for certain categories of workers who lost their jobs in the nonagricultural sector. A random...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262229