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Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Timmermann, Allan - 2004

This paper considers the problems facing decision makers using econometric models in real time. It identifies the key stages involved and highlights the role of automated systems in reducing the effect of data snooping. It sets out many choices that researchers face in construction of automated...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276178

Real Time Econometrics

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Timmermann, Allan - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2004

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763536

On the estimation and forecasting of international migration: how relevant is heterogeneity across countries?

Brücker, Herbert; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2005

This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than … estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample forecasting results indicate the following: (i) the standard fixed effects … variables estimators, (iv) forecasting performance of heterogenous estimators is mediocre in our data set. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267584

Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks

Timmermann, Allan; Pettenuzzo, Davide; Pesaran, … - 2004

This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276180

Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pettenuzzo, Davide; Timmermann, Allan - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2004

This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763710

On the Estimation and Forecasting of International Migration: How Relevant Is Heterogeneity Across Countries?

Brücker, Herbert; Siliverstovs, Boriss - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2005

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703752

Unemployment and Health: A Meta-Analysis

Picchio, Matteo; Ubaldi, Michele - 2022

This paper is a meta-analysis on the relationship between unemployment and health. Our meta-dataset is made up of 327 study results coming from 65 articles published in peer-reviewed journals between 1990 and 2021. We find that publication bias is important, but only for those study results...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013351972

Urban Resilience and Social Security Uptake: New Zealand Evidence from the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 Pandemic

Cochrane, William; Poot, Jacques; Roskruge, Matthew - 2022

This paper focuses on the spatial variation in the uptake of social security benefits following a large and detrimental exogenous shock. Specifically, we focus on the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. We construct a two-period panel of 66 Territorial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013426359

Synthetic Difference-in-Differences Estimation

Clarke, Damian; Pailañir, Daniel; Athey, Susan; … - 2023

In this paper, we describe a computational implementation of the Synthetic difference-in-differences (SDID) estimator of Arkhangelsky et al. (2021) for Stata. Synthetic difference-in-differences can be used in a wide class of circumstances where treatment effects on some particular policy or...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296651

The Worth of Cities in Germany

Gehr, Katja; Pflüger, Michael P. - 2023

This paper extends the urban growth model of Duranton and Puga (2022) to explore the impact of cities on local firms and households and the aggregate economy of Germany. We adopt alternative micro-foundations for agglomeration economies and a non-linear specification of human capital...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296871