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We present a theorem helpful in estimating the mean and variance of a linear function with arbitrary multivariate randomness in its coefficients and variables. We derive a generalized decomposition result from two random linear functions in which the result can be applied to most models using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286879
cycle model. In particular, we analyze the effect of a monetary policy shock and investigate how labor market frictions … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation … depends also on labor market fundamentals such as bargaining power and the flows in and out of employment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267287
that the positive income shock is followed by a decrease in unemployment in all economic activity groups during the initial … periods except the unemployment in the Electricity sector and the Community Services sector. A positive money shock decreases … positive interbank interest rate shock increases the unemployment in all economic activities at the initial levels but derives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268812
Macroeconomists have long been concerned with the causal effects of monetary policy. When the identification of causal effects is based on a selection-on-observables assumption, non-causality amounts to the conditional independence of outcomes and policy changes. This paper develops a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270625
Routine-intensive occupations have been declining in many countries, but how does this affect individual workers’ careers if this decline is particularly severe in their local labor market? This paper uses administrative data from Germany and a matched difference-in-differences approach to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013351852
national lockdown in the UK. The shock was then lower during lockdown, before increasing again in the summer 2020. We present … important role in the observed hate crime spike. The hate crime shock was also positively correlated with the salience of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013470481
The disproportionate impact of children on women's earnings constitutes the primary factor contributing to persistent gender inequality in many countries. This paper examines the multigenerational impact of children and whether the public provision of formal childcare lessens the earnings and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296638
Union (EU), enacted in 2002, as an exogenous shock to immigration. The first approach uses the AFMP reform within an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296702
bereavement. Consequently, we argue that the breadwinner status before the health shock is a neglected factor influencing the … response to a health shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296749
This paper analyzes the individual-level effects of disability onset on labor market outcomes using novel administrative data from Germany. Combining propensity score matching techniques with an event-study design, we find lasting negative impacts on employment and wages. One important mechanism...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014296844