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What is the relationship between economic growth and its volatility? Does political instability affect growth directly … or indirectly, through volatility? This paper tries to answer such questions using a power-ARCH framework with annual … legislative changes) has an indirect (through volatility) negative impact. We also find preliminary support for the idea that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268236
differences. Arguably, this shortcoming is rooted in the lack of an appropriate MIMIC model which considers cointegration among … variables. This paper develops a MIMIC model which estimates the cointegration equilibrium relationship and the error correction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276685
highlights the fact that high exchange rate volatility may as well signal high costs for labor markets. The impact of exchange … rate volatility on labor markets in the CEECs is analyzed, finding that volatility vis?- vis the euro significantly lowers … employment growth. Hence, the elimination of exchange rate volatility could be considered as a substitute for a removal of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261804
In this paper, a survey on theoretically expected and empirically proved impacts of exchange rate volatility is given …. With regard to the West German unemployment, the effects of volatility are empirically analysed using three different … volatility measures and four country groups. In autoregressive models, a significant disturbing impact of volatility can be found …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262270
To account for employment evolutions at the macro-economic level, we propose a modelling where employment is explained by added value, working time and real labour cost. Estimations using quarterly French macro-economic data are carried out in a multivariate framework for three sets of sectors....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275663
.g., cabinet changes) has an indirect (through volatility) impact on growth; (iii) the effect of financial development is positive … and, surprisingly, not via volatility; (iv) the informal instability effects are much larger in the short- than in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268984
thereby fosters economic growth. We apply a structural estimation approach to fully track the endogenous mechanisms of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267663
Does faster economic growth increase pressure for democratic change, or reduce it? Using data for 154 countries for the period 1963-2007, we examine the short-run relationship between economic growth and moves toward and away from greater democracy. To address the potential endogeneity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269675
Current empirical growth models limit the determinants of country growth to geographic, economic, and institutional variables. This study draws on conflict variables from the Correlates of War (COW) project to ask a critical question: How do different types of conflict affect country growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269690
Economic development in Latin America has trailed most other world regions over the past four decades despite its relatively high initial development and school attainment levels. This puzzle can be resolved by considering the actual learning as expressed in tests of cognitive skills, on which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274178