In this paper, we propose AR-GARCH (autoregression-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity) models to fit and forecast mortality rates for a given age by two alternative approaches. Specifically, one approach is to fit a time series of mortality rates for some age to an...

In this paper, we define the mortality durations and convexities of the prices of life insurance and annuity products with respect to an instantaneously proportional change and an instantaneously parallel shift, respectively, in μs (the forces of mortality), ps (the one-year survival...

In this paper, we study the linear hazard transform and its applications in life contingencies. Under the linear hazard transform, the survival function of a risk is distorted, which provides a safety margin for pricing insurance products. Combining the assumption of [alpha]-power approximation...

In this paper, we apply the linear hazard transform to mortality immunization. When there is a change in mortality rates, the respective surplus (negative reserve) changes for life insurance and annuity policies lead to oppositive sign changes, which provides mortality hedging strategies with a...