Bec, Frédérique; Bouabdallah, Othman; Ferrara, Laurent - In: International Journal of Forecasting 30 (2014) 3, pp. 539-549
This paper proposes a two-regime Bounce-Back Function augmented Self-Exciting Threshold AutoRegression (SETAR) model which allows for various shapes of recoveries from the recession regime. It relies on the bounce-back effects which were first analyzed in a Markov-Switching setup by Kim, Morley,...