This paper evaluates the forecasting and finite sample performance of short-term interest rate models in a number of countries. Specifically, we run a series of in-sample and out-of-sample tests for both the conditional mean and volatility of one-factor short rate models, and compare the results...

In the finance and accounting literature, the use of a common divisor in the dependent and independent variables of ordinary least-squares regressions is commonplace. What goes less recognized, however, is that their use induces spurious correlation between the regression variables and...