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In line with a growing literature on financial intermediary asset pricing, we find that changes in the leverage of primary dealers have predictive power in forecasting exchange rates. Unlike previous studies, we find that primary dealer heterogeneity matters for their role in asset pricing. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126161
calculated. Therefore, in this paper, we review the literature on global risk, uncertainty, and volatility measures drawing on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780277
. Such structural change restrained "openness"—the ratio of world trade to world GDP—over this period. We quantify this … with a general equilibrium trade model featuring non-homothetic preferences and input-output linkages. Openness would have …. Structural change is critical for estimating the dynamics of trade barriers and welfare gains from trade. Ongoing structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011854702
What is the relationship between international trade and business cycle synchronization? Using data from 40 countries …, we find that GDP comovement is significantly associated with trade in intermediate inputs but not with trade in final … goods. Motivated by this new fact, we build a model of international trade that is able to replicate the empirical trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126198
This paper develops a model of banking across borders where banks differ in their efficiencies that can replicate key patterns in the data. More efficient banks are more likely to have assets, liabilities and affiliates abroad and have larger foreign operations. Banks are more likely to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563162
We document new facts about the evolution of firm performance and prices in international markets, and propose a theory of firm dynamics emphasizing the interaction between learning about demand and quality choice to explain the observed patterns. Using data from the Portuguese manufacturing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011629981
of the nominal trade weighted dollar. In fact, the correlation between the dollar and the 12 quarter lag of the HLW …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012004672
This paper documents that an appreciation of the U.S. dollar is associated with a reduction in the supply of commercial and industrial loans by U.S. banks. An increase in the broad dollar index by 2.5 points (one standard deviation) reduces U.S. banks' corporate loan originations by 10 percent....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012004720
. Moreover, the central role of the U.S. dollar in global trade invoicing and financing - the dominant currency paradigm - and … the increased integration of EMEs into international supply chains weaken the traditional trade channel. Finally, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126103
This paper shows that monetary policy and prudential policies interact. U.S. banks issue more commercial and industrial loans to emerging market borrowers when U.S. monetary policy eases. The effect is less pronounced for banks that are more constrained through the U.S. bank stress tests,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126184