Showing 1 - 10 of 37
Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635882
patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil price shocks in the euro area. In the normal regime, oil price shocks … followed by sizeable and sustained macroeconomic fluctuations, with inflation and economic activity moving in the same … direction as the oil price. The responses of inflation expectations and wage growth point to second-round effects as a potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771984
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011618843
, subsequently, we didn't see the inflation they predicted. We show that these puzzles disappear in a Vector Autoregressive model … much of the inflation dynamics in the 2012-2014 euro area missing inflation episode. Consequently, economists and models … that excessively focused on the global nature of inflation were liable to miss the contribution of deflationary domestic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636259
We compare the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area, the United States and the United Kingdom …, focusing on the post-crisis period. First of all, we estimate a set of measures of average and tail correlation using inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636301
We analyze the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area during the post-crisis period, with a …. Using a new estimation technique, we look at tail co-movements between short- and long-term distributions of inflation … expectations, estimated from daily quotes of inflation derivatives. We find that, during 2014, average correlations between short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636306
We analyze the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area during the post-crisis period, with a …. Using a new estimation technique, we look at tail co-movements between short- and long-term distributions of inflation … expectations, estimated from daily quotes of inflation derivatives. We find that, during 2014, average correlations between short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636312
This paper analyses the distribution of long-term inflation expectations in the euro area using individual density …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636332
In this paper we construct model-free and model-based indicators for the inflation risk premium in the US and the euro … area. We study the impact of market liquidity, surprises from inflation data releases, inflation volatility and deflation … fears on the inflation risk premium. For our analysis, we construct a special dataset with a broad range of indicators. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637325
by modelling the time-varying dynamics of asset returns and inflation, and then estimating the cost of hedging in ation … inflation risks are not necessarily reduced with the inclusion of real estate assets in the minimum variance portfolio. Our … investors for holding the less attractive inflation-linked debt asset. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241109