Showing 1 - 10 of 11
A country's exports rise when its leadership is approved by other countries. I show this using a standard gravity model of bilateral exports, a panel of data from 2006 through 2017, and an annual Gallup survey which asks people in up to 157 countries whether they approve of the job performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479395
In this paper I quantify a gain that a country receives when its global influence is considered to be admirable by others. I use a standard gravity model of bilateral exports, a panel of data from 2006 through 2013, and an annual survey conducted for the BBC by GlobeScan which asks people in up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457132
unions to estimate the effect of currency unions on trade using (then-) conventional gravity models. In this paper, we use a … variety of empirical gravity models to estimate the currency union effect on trade and exports, using recent data which … a smaller trade effect than other currency unions; it has a mildly stimulating effect at best. Third and most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457134
A gravity model is used to assess the separate effects of exchange rate volatility and currency unions on international … trade. The panel data set used includes bilateral observations for five years spanning 1970 through 1990 for 186 countries … same currency. I find a large positive effect of a currency union on international trade, and a small negative effect of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471350
This paper addresses the issue of whether regimes of fixed exchange rates are a mechanism for shifting volatility inter … devaluations reveals little evidence of significant increases in volatility following these events …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473658
Fixed exchange rates are less volatile than floating rates. But the volatility of macroeconomic variables such as money … exchange rate volatility and macroeconomic stability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474442
This paper shows that proximity to major international financial centers seems to reduce business cycle volatility. In … experience more volatile growth rates in both output and consumption, even after accounting for political institutions, trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464312
dampening effect on trade volatility …I examine the hypothesis that membership in the World Trade Organization (WTO) and its predecessor the General … Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) has increased the stability and predictability of trade flows. I use a large data set …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468487
We analyze banking crises using a panel of macroeconomic and financial data for more than one hundred developing countries from 1975 through 1992. We find that banking crises in emerging markets are strongly associated with adverse external conditions. In particular Northern interest rates are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472448
We use a panel of annual data for over one hundred developing countries from 1971 through 1992 to characterize currency crashes. We define a currency crash as a large change of the nominal exchange rate that is also a substantial increase in the rate of change of nominal depreciation. We examine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473427