We develop a dynamic simulation model for residential home prices in an economy where defaults on residential mortgages negatively affect housing prices and aggregate income. This simulation model enables us to study the impact of subprime defaults on prime borrowers and the impact of various...

After the 2007 credit crisis, nancial bubbles have once again emerged as a topic of current concern. An open problem is to determine in real time whether or not a given asset's price process exhibits a bubble. Due to recent progress in the characterization of asset price bubbles using the...

Credit default swaps (CDS) are term insurance contracts written on traded bonds. This paper studies the economics of CDS using the economics of insurance literature as a basis for analysis. It is alleged that trading in CDS caused the 2007 credit crisis, and therefore trading CDS is an "evil"...

The martingale theory of price bubbles defines an asset bubble to exist when the asset's price process is a strict local martingale, that is, a local martingale that is not a martingale. Using this definition of a price bubble, for continuous semimartingales, we characterize the conditions under...

The martingale theory of bubbles studies the existence and characterization of asset price bubbles in continuous time and continuous trading economies under both the no arbitrage (no free lunch vanishing risk) and no dominance hypotheses. We review this theory, with an emphasis on understanding...

This book is a collection of original papers by Robert Jarrow that contributed to significant advances in financial economics. Divided into three parts, Part I concerns option pricing theory and its foundations. The papers here deal with the famous Black-Scholes-Merton model, characterizations...

The importance of market efficiency to derivative pricing is not well understood. The purpose of this paper is to explain this connection. The connection is established using the third fundamental theorem of asset pricing. The third fundamental theorem of asset pricing characterizes the...

This paper studies bank runs in an extended Diamond and Dybvig model. The model is extended in two ways. One, agents have heterogeneous wealth and two, banks can invest in both liquid and illiquid assets. We argue that the underlying reason for bank runs is ambiguous property rights. Sequential...

This paper develops an arbitrage-free pricing theory for a term structure of fi xed income securities that incorporates liquidity risk. In our model, there is a quantity impact on the term structure of zero-coupon bond prices from the trading of any single zero-coupon bond. We derive a set of...

This paper shows that high frequency trading may play a dysfunctional role in financial markets. Contrary to arbitrageurs who make financial markets more efficient by taking advantage of and thereby eliminating mispricings, high frequency traders can create a mispricing that they unknowingly...