Kilian, Lutz; Zha, Tao - In: Journal of Applied Econometrics 17 (2002) 2, pp. 107-125
We propose a Bayesian framework in which the uncertainty about the half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity can be quantified. Based on the responses to a survey study, we propose a prior probability distribution for the half-life under the recent float intended to capture widely...