We develop a simple model of managing a system subject to pollution damage, such as climate change, under the risk of an abrupt and random jump in the damage function. The model allows the full dynamic characterization of the optimal emission policies under uncertainty. The results imply...

The adaptation vs. mitigation dilemma is considered by analyzing a simple dynamic model of managing a polluting process subject to the risk of abrupt occurrences of harmful events. The occurrence hazard can be mitigated by reducing the polluting emissions, while the occurrence damage can be...

It is traditionally assumed in finance models that the fundamental value of an asset is known with certainty. In this paper we depart from that assumption. We propose a simple model of the exchange rate in which agents have biased and unbiased beliefs about the fundamental rate. We show that...

This paper derives a general New Keynesian framework with heterogeneous expectations by explicitly solving the micro-foundations underpinning the model. The resulting reduced form is analytically tractable and encompasses the representative rational agent benchmark as a special case. We specify...

This paper provides a theoretical analysis of an overlapping generations economy in which production decisions and input–output allocations are all carried out at the family level. I consider a single class of output allocation schemes and various degrees of knowledge about the production...

This paper studies a Lucas (1978) fruit-tree economy under the assumption that the agents are Choquet expected utility (CEU) rather than standard expected utility decision makers. More specifically, the agents' non-additive beliefs about the economy's dividend payment process are modeled as...

The progress of spatial agglomeration of Krugman's core–periphery model is investigated by comparative static analysis of stable equilibria with respect to transport costs. We set forth theoretically possible agglomeration (bifurcation) patterns for a system of cities spread uniformly on a...

Exploitation diminishes the capacity of renewable resources to withstand environmental stress, increasing their vulnerability to extreme conditions that may trigger abrupt changes. The onset of such events depends on the coincidence of extreme environmental conditions and on the resource state...

This paper models expectation formation by taking into account that agents may produce heterogeneous expectations because of informational frictions and differing levels of a capacity to process information. We show that there are two general classes of steady states within this framework: those...

We extend a continuous-time approximation approach to the analysis of escape dynamics in economic models with constant gain adaptive learning. This approach is based on the application of the results of continuous-time version of large deviations theory to the linear diffusion approximation of...