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of consequences, η:Δ→[0,∞] is an ambiguity index, and Δ is the set of priors over the state space S. This representation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263584
of ambiguity, there exists an equilibrium with inertia where agents also insure fully against Knightian uncertainty. When … the level of ambiguity exceeds a critical threshold, full insurance no longer prevails and there exist equilibria with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042950
We analyze the preference aggregation problem without the assumption that individuals and society have fully determined and observable preferences. More precisely, we endow individuals and society with sets of possible von Neumann–Morgenstern utility functions over lotteries. We generalize the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042931
Few papers in the literature on inequality measurement deal with uncertainty, particularly when the ranking of cohorts may not be fixed. We present a set of axioms implying such a class of inequality measures under uncertainty that is a one-parameter extension of the generalized Gini mean over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042965
Departing from the traditional approach of modeling indecisiveness based on the weakening of the completeness axiom, we introduce the notion of graded preferences: The agent is characterized by a binary relation over (ordered) pairs of alternatives, which allows her to express her inclination to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189753
The de Finetti Theorem on exchangeable predictive priors is generalized to a framework where preference is represented by Choquet expected utility with respect to a belief function (a special capacity). The resulting model provides behavioral foundations for the decision-maker's subjective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263610
We analyze a market populated by expected utility maximizers and smooth ambiguity-averse consumers. We study conditions … under which ambiguity-averse consumers survive and affect prices in the limit. If ambiguity vanishes with time or if the … economy exhibits no aggregate risk, ambiguity-averse consumers survive, but have no long-run impact on prices. In both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189747
from convex (through randomization) sets, and connects them by defining a behavioral notion of perceived ambiguity …. Substantively, a main idea is to behaviorally identify ambiguity with failures of independence of irrelevant alternatives. Regarding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042942
In the framework of dynamic choice under uncertainty, we define dynamic stability as a combination of two assumptions prevalent in the literature: dynamic consistency and the requirement that updated preferences have the same “structure” as ex ante ones. Dynamic stability also turns out to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042961
We model decision making under ambiguity based on available data. Decision makers express preferences over actions and … perceived ambiguity). We identify the subjectively perceived ambiguity and separate it into ambiguity due to a limited number of … observations and ambiguity due to data heterogeneity. The special case of no ambiguity provides a behavioral foundation for beliefs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011043018