We examine how prices in interest rate and foreign exchange futures markets adjust to the new information contained in scheduled macroeconomic news releases in the very short run. Using 10-second returns and tick-by-tick data, we find that prices adjust in a series of numerous small, but rapid,...

We model and examine the impact of information releases on market uncertainty as measured by the implied standard deviation (ISD) from option markets. Distinguishing between scheduled and unscheduled announcements, we hypothesize that since the timing, although not the content, of scheduled...

Both bond rating agencies and stock analysts evaluate publicly traded companies and communicate their opinions to investors. Comparing the timeliness of each, we find that Granger causality flows both ways. While most bond downgrades are preceded by declines in actual and forecast earnings, both...

Option pricing models and longer-term value-at-risk (VaR) models generally require volatility forecasts over horizons considerably longer than the data frequency. The typical recursive procedure for generating longer-term forecasts keeps the <italic>relative</italic> weights of recent and older observations the...