Tang, Huarong; Xia, Yihong - In: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 42 (2007) 01, pp. 41-80
We examine the yield curve behavior and the relative performance of affine term structure models (ATSMs) using government bond yield data from Canada, Germany, Japan, the U.K., and the U.S. We find strong predictability of forward rates for excess bond returns and reject the expectations...